Before I start, all of everything is done with the database having no knowledge of what happened on Thursday nights. It's just too short of a turn around for me to get it up before Thursday.
The calculations had a pretty good week 13. Here are the results from what was predicted.
STL over ARI (778) HIT
NO over CIN (732) HIT
PHI over HOU (683) HIT
GB over SF (604) HIT
KC over DEN (583) HIT
IND over DAL (536) MISS
ATL over TB (444) HIT
CHI over DET (390) HIT
CLE over MIA (359) HIT
TEN over JAC (341) MISS
SEA over CAR (222) HIT
SD over OAK (182) MISS
MIN over BUF (101) HIT
NYG over WSH (85) HIT
NE over NYJ (37) HIT
PIT over BAL (17) HIT
I don't know why this thing loves Tennessee so much, it's two weeks now that it's picked Tennessee as the better team. This will need some investigation.
Here are the power rankings after Week 12:
32 CAR 0.013
31 BUF 0.039
30 ARI 0.051
29 CIN 0.139
28 HOU 0.142
27 DEN 0.177
26 SEA 0.232
25 MIN 0.236
24 DAL 0.267
23 WSH 0.271
22 TB 0.278
21 SF 0.322
20 DET 0.333
19 JAC 0.427
18 MIA 0.443
17 SD 0.453
16 OAK 0.519
15 TEN 0.529
14 NYG 0.593
13 IND 0.627
12 CHI 0.645
11 ATL 0.691
10 NYJ 0.698
9 CLE 0.816
8 STL 0.846
7 PIT 0.861
6 KC 0.865
5 PHI 0.881
4 NE 0.898
3 BAL 0.925
2 NO 0.936
1 GB 0.958
I changed the prediction algorithm just a little bit, let's see if it works any better. Again from most confident to least:
BAL over HOU (835)
ATL over CAR (781)
CLE over BUF (754)
PIT over CIN (624)
GB over DET (535)
PHI over DAL (467)
KC over SD (409)
TB over WSH (267)
NYJ over MIA (238)
NYG over MIN (222)
NE over CHI (129)
DEN over ARI (124)
IND over TEN (123)
JAC over OAK (009)
A couple things to note: The system doesn't seem as confident in its picks as it has been in the previous two weeks. Secondly, it is picking a lot of road winners. And since it has no knowledge of Home/Away, I suspect it will do pretty badly this week. Let's see.
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